Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 5.627429 6.561095 7.557233 8.694403 9.951843 11.295076 12.833679
2025-10-26 4.078004 5.301749 6.707235 8.421348 10.435520 12.707708 15.444622
2025-11-02 2.963748 4.295103 5.937227 8.065678 10.704301 13.821627 17.734191
2025-11-09 2.196635 3.548696 5.335941 7.786967 10.973834 14.891428 19.980259
2025-11-16 1.678160 3.017256 4.908513 7.639603 11.343154 16.053416 22.350015
2025-11-23 1.300043 2.601986 4.563061 7.534768 11.720628 17.205982 24.722175
2025-11-30 1.115964 2.444802 4.554866 7.876485 12.693843 19.150403 28.160479
2025-12-07 0.899490 2.183987 4.346387 7.892081 13.193584 20.464684 30.800238
2025-12-14 0.662902 1.826452 3.926309 7.534149 13.115012 20.964349 32.345216
2025-12-21 0.491057 1.544361 3.583348 7.248783 13.103014 21.530146 33.970645
2025-12-28 0.435616 1.495822 3.642888 7.612927 14.078351 23.515617 37.596593
2026-01-04 0.402415 1.490237 3.778277 8.107946 15.270858 25.843053 41.751269
2026-01-11 0.360965 1.457593 3.864040 8.534524 16.393583 28.131813 45.953609
2026-01-18 0.293839 1.336695 3.758504 8.616197 16.969692 29.635044 49.081684
2026-01-25 0.219951 1.166118 3.522531 8.438675 17.110052 30.486766 51.290632
2026-02-01 0.161204 1.012152 3.293415 8.246716 17.206547 31.263933 53.399154
2026-02-08 0.119951 0.894107 3.122297 8.143526 17.436909 32.240515 55.808957
2026-02-15 0.088521 0.792629 2.970500 8.060212 17.689839 33.250938 58.282702
2026-02-22 0.078363 0.780788 3.042478 8.433601 18.754189 35.559179 62.739230
2026-03-01 0.059578 0.711228 2.950492 8.457695 19.195734 36.887287 65.741341
2026-03-08 0.036582 0.588605 2.684933 8.085013 18.898157 37.015939 66.917704
2026-03-15 0.021909 0.491774 2.466277 7.786491 18.711766 37.307431 68.336269
2026-03-22 0.019371 0.491791 2.547616 8.171167 19.815927 39.738387 73.099829